Thursday, 6 October 2011

Mombasa CC - Oct 8th

Starlist can be found here

Late season African Cups tend to not field a strong event and this race follows similar suit. Essentially this will be a 3or4-man race in Kenya.

It is races like this one where I really feel the ITU needs to adopt a better all-round performance measuring system for Point Accumulation at events. A 'Field Factor' or Handicap for each race varying on the ranking of athletes starting and finishing the event would give a more representative measure for ranking pts.

Regardless, this CC will see a podium and I feel the race will play out like this:

Out of the water we will have Fanous (JOR) and Essadiq (MAR) with Murphy (IRL) and perhaps a Belgian just off the back. Murphy will bridge solo up to these two and the lead group of 3 will roll around the ride saving their legs for the run.

After a competive 10k between these 3 I feel we see Murphy (IRL) take first with Essadiq second and Fanous third.

Darkhorse: Bader (BEL)

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