Saturday 10 September 2011

Beijing GF - Elite Women

Startlist can be found here

50% so far with Podium Picking, lets keep the ball rolling.

The Womens Elite race will be the most exciting of all the races this weekend. There are 4 ladies that have a shot of being World Champion and many others looking for the GF win.

The excitement will start right away in the swim. Look for Lang (GBR) to stretch things out and try to help Jenkins (GBR) shed a few threats such as Riveros Diaz (CHI), Findlay (CAN), and the Emma's (AUS).

Lead out by Lang (GBR) we'll see others like Jensen (DEN), Harrison (FRA), Bennett & Groff (USA), and Jenkins & Blatchford (GBR) there as well looking to get an early break established. A lot depends on Spirig (SUI), and Norden's (SWE) swim split. If they are similar and can work together than expect these two to bridge up picking up others and dragging with them whoever else can 'hang on'.

I think two equal sized groups are formed by lap 2 and we see the gap hover around 45''-60'' throughout.

Onto the run you have to favour Jenkins with this bike course, however Riveros Diaz (CHI) is better suited to the run course. This is what makes triathlon so unique; one sport is affected by the other throughout the entire race!

If not too hot out i think we'll see a low 33' run take gold. For the podium I like:

Podium: Gold Jenkins Silver Riveros Diaz Bronze Ueda

Darkhorse: Frederiksen (DEN)

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