Startlist can be found here
Have lost routine with staying on top of races, need to get back to it, no excuses.
With ITU points on the line for 2 sprint races in each continent this season Vila Velha acts as the second PATCO sprint and its championships.
Even with the swim being shorter I think we still see a gap of 15out of the water from Farias (ARG) and Fernandes (BRA). With it being an ocean swim I feel the gap may be even more depending on surf levels given Farias's Buenos Aires beach roots.
Onto the bike these two will be motivated to stay away as 30s+ off the bike is what they would need for the win. Although the motivation will be high I do not see them staying away from a high powered chase of Sclebin, Moriera, Carvalho (BRA), and Perciado (COL) to name a few.
Coming into T2 together as group of 12-15 we'll see Perciado (COL) take the pace out hard over the first k with Carvlho (BRA). Sclebin (BRA) tends to build his run like a freight train, but he may run out of room if left to late.
I feel we see Sclebin still take the win with Cavanha Conceicao in second and Carvalho rounding out the Brazilian Sweep.
Darkhorse: Pimentel (BRA)
Saturday, 27 August 2011
Sunday, 14 August 2011
Tiszaujvaros WC - Aug 14th
Startlist can be found here
Apologies for anyone following this blog for the missed post for the biggest and baddest race of the year in London. I completly forgot.
On to this weekend and we have a quite a even field in Tizzy for the 15th rendition of this World Cup.
A calm water non-wetsuit should be a congested affair with tight turns and exits. There are not a lot of fish in this field but still enough to push a good swim. Expect to see the Salvisberg brothers (SUI), I.Polyanskiy (RUS), Kerr (AUS), Vanek (HUN) and McMahon (CAN) near the front at the exit.
The bike features a 5k'ish length transfer from the lake to loops in the town. This section is often critical to the rest of the bike portion regarding groups. If a front group out of the water can hold the chase at bay till this point we could see it stick. With a boisterous hungarian crowd on hand, the number of hungarians in the front group could raise its chances to stay away. Key factors to a front group staying away are the swims of bike powerhouses Pais (POR) and Rana (ESP) and Sclebin (BRA).
I think we see a large group roll into T2 on this run and the race becoming a 10k around the city streets. With narrow sections the run can become a strategic affair. On to the podium i think we see Hug (SUI), Huerta (USA) and Sharp (GBR) do the honours.
Darkhorses: Murry (RSA), Hofer (ITA)
Apologies for anyone following this blog for the missed post for the biggest and baddest race of the year in London. I completly forgot.
On to this weekend and we have a quite a even field in Tizzy for the 15th rendition of this World Cup.
A calm water non-wetsuit should be a congested affair with tight turns and exits. There are not a lot of fish in this field but still enough to push a good swim. Expect to see the Salvisberg brothers (SUI), I.Polyanskiy (RUS), Kerr (AUS), Vanek (HUN) and McMahon (CAN) near the front at the exit.
The bike features a 5k'ish length transfer from the lake to loops in the town. This section is often critical to the rest of the bike portion regarding groups. If a front group out of the water can hold the chase at bay till this point we could see it stick. With a boisterous hungarian crowd on hand, the number of hungarians in the front group could raise its chances to stay away. Key factors to a front group staying away are the swims of bike powerhouses Pais (POR) and Rana (ESP) and Sclebin (BRA).
I think we see a large group roll into T2 on this run and the race becoming a 10k around the city streets. With narrow sections the run can become a strategic affair. On to the podium i think we see Hug (SUI), Huerta (USA) and Sharp (GBR) do the honours.
Darkhorses: Murry (RSA), Hofer (ITA)
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